The Braves had a losing record on the road this season and Julio Teheran makes his first start against the Dodgers. He's got a 3.38 ERA on the road but has given up 4 runs in 2 of his last 3 starts. Dodgers may take an inning or two to adjust to Teheran, but I think they can make him work and bounce him out of this game early. Teheran's tERA is 4.03 and he's allowing 3% more line drives than the Dodgers starter Ryu. Dodgers are are also hitting the ball hard 24.4% line drive rate over the last 7 days compared to 20.7% for the Braves.
Ryu is another under rated pitcher as he posts a 2.33 ERA at home and a 2.44 ERA at night. The Braves saw him twice and struggled as he posted an ERA under 3 against them, but was flat out dominant on extra rest at home pitching 7.2 innings and allowing 1 ER against the Braves earlier this season. He's got a 1.51 ERA at home this year when he made a start on extra rest where he does tonight. Ryu has a good fast ball change up with good control and gets more ground balls while Teheran is more prone to the home run ball that could easily change this game. Both bullpens have been nasty, but the Dodgers have pitched better down the stretch and are fresher in game 3. I think the Dodgers win a close one on Sunday night.
